Research and Analysis Wing — Predicted 2026

AI-Predicted Question Angles for UPSC 2026

Based on trend analysis, current affairs, and recurring themes in Research and Analysis Wing.

RAW's role in addressing hybrid warfare and asymmetric threats from state and non-state actors

High

Given the evolving nature of security challenges, particularly from China and Pakistan, and the increasing prominence of hybrid warfare tactics including cyber attacks, disinformation campaigns, and proxy operations, UPSC is likely to test understanding of how traditional intelligence agencies like RAW are adapting to these new threat paradigms. Recent border tensions and cyber incidents provide contemporary context for such questions.

Integration of artificial intelligence and emerging technologies in intelligence operations and analysis

High

The rapid advancement of AI, machine learning, and big data analytics in intelligence gathering aligns with UPSC's focus on technology and governance. Questions may explore how RAW is modernizing its capabilities, the challenges of technology integration, and the implications for intelligence effectiveness and privacy concerns.

Intelligence sharing and coordination in the context of India's growing international partnerships and strategic autonomy

Medium

India's expanding global partnerships, participation in groups like Quad, and emphasis on strategic autonomy create opportunities for questions about intelligence cooperation, information sharing protocols, and balancing international cooperation with national security interests. The topic connects foreign policy with internal security, making it attractive for multidimensional questions.