Debt Sustainability Indicators — Prelims Strategy
Prelims Strategy
For Prelims, focus on the definitions, formulas, and especially the IMF/World Bank recommended threshold ranges for each indicator. Memorize India's latest values for the key indicators (e.g., General Government Debt-to-GDP, External Debt-to-GDP, FX Reserves to External Debt, Short-term Debt to Total External Debt, CAD as % of GDP).
Pay attention to the 'direction' of the indicator – whether a higher or lower value is desirable. For instance, a higher FX Reserves to External Debt ratio is good, while a higher Debt-to-GDP ratio is generally a concern.
Be prepared for questions that test your understanding of the implications of changes in these ratios. Also, remember the key policy measures and institutional frameworks (like FRBM Act, RBI's role in ECB management) that have shaped India's debt sustainability.
Data interpretation questions, where you might be given a table of indicators and asked to draw conclusions, are also possible. Vyyuha advises creating flashcards for each indicator, including its formula, threshold, and India's latest figure, to ensure quick recall.